BWXT vs LEU: Stock Returns, Risk & Volatility (2026)

Q: Which is a better investment: BWXT or LEU?

Over the past year, it depends: LEU led on total return (LEU +188.6% vs BWXT +122.5%), but BWXT had the higher Sharpe ratio (BWXT 1.96 vs LEU 1.58). On risk, BWXT was less volatile (BWXT 44.4% vs LEU 92.5%), BWXT had a smaller max drawdown (BWXT -22.0% vs LEU -61.3%), and BWXT had less severe losses on the worst 5% of days (Expected Shortfall of BWXT -6.41% vs LEU -12.81%).

Written by Gale Finance Team

Reviewed by Sid Kalla CFA Charterholder

Quick answer

Which is a better investment: BWXT or LEU?

Over the past year, results are mixed (+122.5% vs +188.6%).

Total Return

BWXT +122.5%

LEU WIN +188.6%

Sharpe Ratio

BWXT WIN 1.96

LEU 1.58

Annualized Volatility

BWXT WIN 44.4%

LEU 92.5%

Max Drawdown

BWXT WIN -22.0%

LEU -61.3%

Analysis period: 2025-04-14 to 2026-04-10

BWXT Total Return

↑ +122.5%

LEU Total Return

↑ +188.6%

Relative Performance of BWXT vs LEU (Normalized to 100)

BWXT LEU

Normalized to 100 at start date for comparison

Key Takeaways

Total Return: BWXT delivered a +122.5% total return, while LEU returned +188.6% over the same period. LEU outperformed on total returns.
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe Ratio): BWXT had a higher Sharpe (1.96 vs 1.58), indicating better risk-adjusted performance.
Volatility (Annualized): LEU was more volatile, with 92.5% annualized volatility, versus 44.4% for BWXT.
Maximum Drawdown: BWXT's maximum drawdown was -22.0%, while LEU experienced a deeper drawdown of -61.3%.
Tail Risk (VaR & Expected Shortfall): At the 5% level (daily log returns), BWXT's VaR was -4.57% and its Expected Shortfall (CVaR) was -6.41%; LEU's were -9.09% and -12.81%. VaR is the cutoff; Expected Shortfall is the average move on the worst days.
Skew & Kurtosis: Skew: BWXT 0.36 vs LEU -0.19. Excess kurtosis: BWXT 6.41 vs LEU 1.64. Negative skew leans downside; higher excess kurtosis means fatter tails.
Tail Days & Extremes: 2σ tail days (down/up): BWXT 7/5, LEU 7/6. Worst day: BWXT -9.85% (2026-02-04) vs LEU -20.69% (2026-02-11). Best day: BWXT +17.79% (2025-08-05) vs LEU +22.01% (2025-05-08).
Risk ratios: Sortino - BWXT: 3.15 vs. LEU: 2.47 , Calmar - BWXT: 5.66 vs. LEU: 3.13 , Sterling - BWXT: 7.81 vs. LEU: 5.28 , Treynor - BWXT: 0.58 vs. LEU: 0.63 , Ulcer Index - BWXT: 8.43% vs. LEU: 30.78%

BWX Technologies vs Centrus Energy Correlation

0.54 Average Correlation

BWX Technologies and Centrus Energy are moderately correlated over the past year. With a correlation of 0.54, these assets show moderate co-movement, offering some diversification when held together.

For portfolio construction, this moderate correlation offers some diversification benefit, though the assets still tend to move together during major market moves.

Metric	Value
Current (30-day)	0.61
Average (full period)	0.54
Minimum	0.18
Maximum	0.83

Correlation measures how closely two assets move together. Values near +1 indicate strong co-movement, near 0 indicates independence, and negative values indicate inverse movement.

Investment Comparison

If you invested $10,000 in each asset on April 14, 2025:

BWXT $22,245.75 +122.5%

LEU $28,860.8 +188.6%

Difference: $6,615.05 (LEU ahead)

BWX Technologies and Centrus Energy: Risk Analysis

BWX Technologies experienced its maximum drawdown of -22% from 2025-11-03 to 2025-12-17. It took 30 days to recover.

Centrus Energy experienced its maximum drawdown of -61.3% from 2025-10-15 to 2026-03-30. It has not yet recovered to its previous peak.

Smaller drawdowns and faster recoveries indicate lower downside risk and greater resilience during market stress.

Sharpe Ratio of BWXT and LEU

BWXT Sharpe Ratio

↑ 1.96

LEU Sharpe Ratio

↑ 1.58

Sharpe ratio measures return per unit of risk (volatility). A higher Sharpe indicates better risk-adjusted performance. BWXT had a higher Sharpe (1.96 vs 1.58), indicating better risk-adjusted performance.

A Sharpe above 1.0 is generally considered good, above 2.0 is excellent. Negative Sharpe means the asset underperformed the risk-free rate. Calculated on each asset's full 365-day lookback of available prices and annualized using the asset calendar (365 for crypto, 252 trading days for equities/ETFs/metals).

Sortino Ratio of BWXT and LEU

BWXT Sortino Ratio

↑ 3.15

LEU Sortino Ratio

↑ 2.47

Sortino ratio measures return per unit of downside risk. Unlike Sharpe, it only counts downside deviation (returns below the target return). BWXT had better downside-adjusted returns.

A higher Sortino is better. It's useful when upside volatility is common (crypto is the obvious example). Downside deviation: BWXT 27.6% vs LEU 59.2%. Calculated on each asset's full 365-day lookback of available prices, using the daily risk-free rate as the target return, and annualized using the asset calendar (365 for crypto, 252 trading days for equities/ETFs/metals).

Calmar Ratio of BWXT and LEU

BWXT Calmar Ratio

↑ 5.66

LEU Calmar Ratio

↑ 3.13

Calmar ratio compares CAGR to maximum drawdown. Higher Calmar means more return per unit of worst drawdown. BWXT posted the higher Calmar ratio.

Calmar is computed on each asset's full 365-day lookback and uses the max drawdown over that same window.

Sterling Ratio of BWXT and LEU

BWXT Sterling Ratio

↑ 7.81

LEU Sterling Ratio

↑ 5.28

Sterling ratio measures excess return per unit of average drawdown (typically drawdowns worse than 10%). BWXT posted the higher Sterling ratio.

Sterling uses average drawdown events deeper than 10% and subtracts the risk-free rate to report excess return.

Treynor Ratio of BWXT and LEU

BWXT Treynor Ratio

↑ 0.58

LEU Treynor Ratio

↑ 0.63

Treynor ratio measures excess return per unit of market risk (beta) instead of total volatility. LEU posted the higher Treynor ratio.

Treynor uses beta vs the S&P 500 (SPY) on shared dates and the average 3-month Treasury rate as the risk-free rate.

Ulcer Index of BWXT and LEU

BWXT Ulcer Index

8.43%

LEU Ulcer Index

30.78%

Ulcer Index captures drawdown depth and duration. Lower Ulcer Index means less drawdown pain. BWXT had the lower Ulcer Index (less drawdown pain).

Ulcer Index is computed from each asset's drawdown series over the full lookback window.

Tail Risk & Distribution Shape (1-Year): BWX Technologies vs. Centrus Energy

This section looks at the shape of daily returns, not just the average. Tail stats are computed per asset on its own daily series (crypto includes weekends). We use daily log returns $\ln\left(\frac{P_t}{P_{t-1}}\right)$ so multi-day moves add cleanly.

Definitions: Value at Risk (VaR), Expected Shortfall, skew, kurtosis, and fat tails.

Metric (1-Year)	BWXT	LEU
5% VaR (daily log return)	-4.57%	-9.09%
5% Expected Shortfall (CVaR)	-6.41% (worst 13 days)	-12.81% (worst 13 days)
Skew	0.36	-0.19
Excess kurtosis	6.41	1.64
2σ tail days (down / up)	7 / 5	7 / 6
Worst day	-9.85% (2026-02-04)	-20.69% (2026-02-11)
Best day	+17.79% (2025-08-05)	+22.01% (2025-05-08)

Downside co-moves (2σ) — 1-Year

Computed on shared dates only (n=248). A “2σ downside move” means a shared-close log return more than 2 standard deviations below that asset’s own mean on this shared-date series. Dates below show simple returns (%) for readability.

When LEU has a big down day, BWXT also does

14.3%

1 / 7 days

When BWXT has a big down day, LEU also does

14.3%

1 / 7 days

Show downside tail dates

Dates below are shared-date observations. The “Date” is the period end (close). Tail thresholds are computed on log returns, but the table shows simple returns (%) for readability. Returns are computed from the previous shared close to this one (for example, Friday → Monday includes weekend moves).

Days when both BWXT and LEU had a big down day (2σ)

Date (interval)	BWXT	LEU
2025-10-22	-6.86%	-16.49%

Days when BWXT had a big down day

Date (interval)	BWXT	LEU
2025-10-22	-6.86%	-16.49%
2025-11-04	-7.17%	-4.60%
2025-11-13	-9.60%	-7.89%
2026-01-16 → 2026-01-20	-5.42%	-4.56%
2026-02-04	-9.85%	-10.35%
2026-03-26	-7.67%	+0.03%
2026-03-27 → 2026-03-30	-5.43%	-7.86%

Days when LEU had a big down day

Date (interval)	BWXT	LEU
2025-08-13	-1.53%	-13.77%
2025-10-22	-6.86%	-16.49%
2025-11-06	-2.11%	-14.72%
2026-01-08	+0.50%	-11.37%
2026-01-29	-2.83%	-10.74%
2026-02-11	-0.67%	-20.69%
2026-02-12	-0.81%	-11.88%

Read this as “how ugly the ugly days get”, not as a precise forecast. One-year samples are small, so tail estimates are inherently noisy.

BWX Technologies vs Centrus Energy Volatility (BWXT vs LEU)

BWXT Volatility

44.4%

±2.79% daily

LEU Volatility

92.5%

±5.82% daily

Typical daily swing

BWXT

±2.79%

LEU

±5.82%

BWX Technologies's annualized volatility of 44.4% means it typically moves ±2.79% on any given day.

Centrus Energy's annualized volatility of 92.5% means it typically moves ±5.82% on any given day.

LEU's higher volatility means a wider path to returns — this can be attractive for tactical, shorter-term exposure, while BWXT's smoother profile may better suit long-term allocators seeking steadier growth.

For comparison, the S&P 500 typically has 15-18% annualized volatility, translating to roughly ±1% daily moves. Higher volatility means larger potential gains but also larger potential losses.

BWX Technologies vs Centrus Energy Performance Over Time

Metric	BWXT	LEU
30 Days	17.1%	-6.6%
90 Days	14.1%	-38.9%
180 Days	21.1%	-48.5%
1 Year	122.5%	188.6%

Shorter time frames can show different leaders as market conditions change. Consider your investment horizon when comparing performance.

Full Comparison of BWX Technologies vs. Centrus Energy (1-Year)

Metric	BWXT	LEU
Total Return	+122.5%	+188.6%
Annualized Volatility	44.4%	92.5%
Sharpe Ratio	1.96	1.58
Sortino Ratio	3.15	2.47
Calmar Ratio	5.66	3.13
Sterling Ratio	7.81	5.28
Treynor Ratio	0.58	0.63
Ulcer Index	8.43%	30.78%
Max Drawdown	-22.0%	-61.3%
Avg Correlation to S&P 500	0.41	0.33
5% VaR (daily log return)	-4.57%	-9.09%
5% Expected Shortfall (CVaR)	-6.41%	-12.81%
Skew	0.36	-0.19
Excess kurtosis	6.41	1.64
2σ tail days (down / up)	7 / 5	7 / 6

Audit this calculation

Formulas, inputs, and conventions used to compute the metrics on this page.

Inputs & conventions

Shared window for pair metrics: 2025-04-14 → 2026-04-10 (last shared close).
Rolling correlation sample (shared closes): 219 rolling 30-day values (from 248 shared daily returns).
Annualization (days/year): BWXT: 252 days/year; LEU: 252 days/year.
Risk-free rate: Uses the 3-month U.S. Treasury yield (FRED: DGS3MO), averaged over each asset’s window:

BWXT: 4.17% over 2025-04-14 → 2026-04-10.

LEU: 4.17% over 2025-04-14 → 2026-04-10.
Volatility drag (rule of thumb): Estimated from annualized volatility (simple returns). For the log-return framing, see Log returns.

BWXT: ≈ -9.9%/yr

LEU: ≈ -42.8%/yr
Data alignment: No forward fill. Correlation and tail co-moves are computed on shared closes only.
For cross-calendar pairs (e.g., crypto vs stocks), weekend/holiday moves roll into the next shared close.
Return conventions: Volatility/Sharpe/Sortino use simple daily returns. Tail-risk uses daily log returns for distribution stats (but tables show simple returns). Log returns.

Formulas

Daily simple return

r_t = \frac{P_t}{P_{t-1}} - 1

Volatility

\sigma_{ann} = \sigma(r_t)\sqrt{A}

Volatility drag (approx.)

\text{drag} \approx \tfrac{1}{2}\sigma_{ann}^2

Sharpe Ratio

S = \frac{A\,\bar{r} - r_f}{\sigma(r_t)\sqrt{A}}

Sortino Ratio

So = \frac{A\,\bar{r} - r_f}{\sqrt{\mathbb{E}[\min(0,\,r_t - r_f/A)^2]}\,\sqrt{A}}

Maximum Drawdown

MDD = \min_t\left(\frac{P_t}{\max_{s \le t} P_s} - 1\right)

Average Correlation

\rho = \frac{\operatorname{cov}(r^A,\,r^B)}{\sigma_A\,\sigma_B}

Log returns

\ell_t = \ln\left(\frac{P_t}{P_{t-1}}\right)

Notation

$P_t$: Price on day t.
$r_t$: Simple daily return.
$\ell_t$: Log daily return.
$\bar{r}$: Average daily return.
$\sigma(r_t)$: Standard deviation of daily returns.
$A$: Annualization factor (days/year).
$r_f$: Annual risk-free rate.

BWX Technologies vs Centrus Energy: Frequently Asked Questions

Which has higher volatility: BWXT or LEU?

LEU showed higher volatility at 92.5% annualized, compared to 44.4% for BWXT Over the past year. Higher volatility means larger price swings in both directions.

Does BWXT provide diversification when held with LEU?

BWXT and LEU are moderately correlated over the past year, with an average correlation of 0.54. This offers some diversification benefit, though they still tend to move together during major market moves.

How bad are the worst 5% days for BWXT vs LEU?

Over the past year, BWXT's 5% VaR was -4.57% and its 5% Expected Shortfall was -6.41% (worst 13 days). LEU's were -9.09% and -12.81% (worst 13 days).

Do BWXT and LEU crash together on bad days?

On shared dates (n=248), when LEU has a 2σ down day, BWXT also does 14.3% (1/7 days). In the other direction, when BWXT has one, LEU also does 14.3% (1/7 days).

Which has better risk-adjusted returns: BWXT or LEU?

BWXT showed better risk-adjusted performance with a Sharpe ratio of 1.96 versus LEU's 1.58 Over the past year.

Can BWXT and LEU be combined in a portfolio?

Yes, though allocation sizing matters. Their moderate correlation offers some diversification benefits. LEU's higher volatility (92.5%) means even small allocations can materially impact overall portfolio risk.

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