Which is a better investment: RDDT or SNAP?
Over the past year, RDDT outperformed (-6.3% vs -49.2%) with a Sharpe ratio of 0.26.
Analysis period: 2025-02-27 to 2026-02-25
Relative Performance of RDDT vs SNAP (Normalized to 100)
Normalized to 100 at start date for comparison
Key Takeaways
- Total Return: RDDT delivered a -6.3% total return, while SNAP returned -49.2% over the same period. RDDT outperformed on total returns.
- Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe Ratio): SNAP had a negative Sharpe (-0.93) while RDDT was positive (0.26), indicating RDDT had meaningfully better risk-adjusted performance in this period.
- Volatility (Annualized): RDDT was more volatile, with 79.4% annualized volatility, versus 59.4% for SNAP.
- Maximum Drawdown: RDDT's maximum drawdown was -51.6%, while SNAP experienced a deeper drawdown of -54.3%.
- Tail Risk (VaR & Expected Shortfall): At the 5% level (daily log returns), RDDT's VaR was -8.46% and its Expected Shortfall (CVaR) was -11.49%; SNAP's were -5.77% and -9.57%. VaR is the cutoff; Expected Shortfall is the average move on the worst days.
- Skew & Kurtosis: Skew: RDDT -0.13 vs SNAP -0.24. Excess kurtosis: RDDT 2.77 vs SNAP 6.23. Negative skew leans downside; higher excess kurtosis means fatter tails.
- Tail Days & Extremes: 2σ tail days (down/up): RDDT 7/5, SNAP 7/5. Worst day: RDDT -19.92% (2025-03-10) vs SNAP -17.15% (2025-08-06). Best day: RDDT +24.72% (2025-04-09) vs SNAP +21.99% (2025-04-09).
- Risk ratios: Sortino - RDDT: 0.37 vs. SNAP: -1.26 , Calmar - RDDT: -0.12 vs. SNAP: -0.91 , Sterling - RDDT: -0.28 vs. SNAP: -1.28 , Treynor - RDDT: 0.10 vs. SNAP: -0.31 , Ulcer Index - RDDT: 25.97% vs. SNAP: 24.37%
Reddit vs Snap Correlation
Reddit and Snap are weakly correlated over the past year. With a correlation of 0.27, these assets show meaningful independence, offering diversification benefits when held together.
For portfolio construction, this weak correlation suggests that combining RDDT and SNAP could reduce overall portfolio variance. However, correlations can increase during market stress.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current (30-day) | 0.36 |
| Average (full period) | 0.27 |
| Minimum | -0.30 |
| Maximum | 0.80 |
Correlation measures how closely two assets move together. Values near +1 indicate strong co-movement, near 0 indicates independence, and negative values indicate inverse movement.
Investment Comparison
If you invested $10,000 in each asset on February 27, 2025:
Difference: $4,292.17 (RDDT ahead)
Reddit and Snap: Risk Analysis
Reddit experienced its maximum drawdown of -51.6% from 2025-09-18 to 2026-02-12. It has not yet recovered to its previous peak.
Snap experienced its maximum drawdown of -54.3% from 2025-07-22 to 2026-02-17. It has not yet recovered to its previous peak.
Smaller drawdowns and faster recoveries indicate lower downside risk and greater resilience during market stress.
Sharpe Ratio of RDDT and SNAP
Sharpe ratio measures return per unit of risk (volatility). A higher Sharpe indicates better risk-adjusted performance. SNAP had a negative Sharpe (-0.93) while RDDT was positive (0.26), indicating RDDT had meaningfully better risk-adjusted performance in this period.
A Sharpe above 1.0 is generally considered good, above 2.0 is excellent. Negative Sharpe means the asset underperformed the risk-free rate. Calculated on each asset's full 365-day lookback of available prices and annualized using the asset calendar (365 for crypto, 252 trading days for equities/ETFs/metals).
Sortino Ratio of RDDT and SNAP
Sortino ratio measures return per unit of downside risk. Unlike Sharpe, it only counts downside deviation (returns below the target return). RDDT had better downside-adjusted returns.
A higher Sortino is better. It's useful when upside volatility is common (crypto is the obvious example). Downside deviation: RDDT 54.8% vs SNAP 43.6%. Calculated on each asset's full 365-day lookback of available prices, using the daily risk-free rate as the target return, and annualized using the asset calendar (365 for crypto, 252 trading days for equities/ETFs/metals).
Calmar Ratio of RDDT and SNAP
Calmar ratio compares CAGR to maximum drawdown. Higher Calmar means more return per unit of worst drawdown. RDDT posted the higher Calmar ratio.
Calmar is computed on each asset's full 365-day lookback and uses the max drawdown over that same window.
Sterling Ratio of RDDT and SNAP
Sterling ratio measures excess return per unit of average drawdown (typically drawdowns worse than 10%). RDDT posted the higher Sterling ratio.
Sterling uses average drawdown events deeper than 10% and subtracts the risk-free rate to report excess return.
Treynor Ratio of RDDT and SNAP
Treynor ratio measures excess return per unit of market risk (beta) instead of total volatility. RDDT posted the higher Treynor ratio.
Treynor uses beta vs the S&P 500 (SPY) on shared dates and the average 3-month Treasury rate as the risk-free rate.
Ulcer Index of RDDT and SNAP
Ulcer Index captures drawdown depth and duration. Lower Ulcer Index means less drawdown pain. SNAP had the lower Ulcer Index (less drawdown pain).
Ulcer Index is computed from each asset's drawdown series over the full lookback window.
Tail Risk & Distribution Shape (1-Year): Reddit vs. Snap
This section looks at the shape of daily returns, not just the average. Tail stats are computed per asset on its own daily series (crypto includes weekends). We use daily log returns so multi-day moves add cleanly.
Definitions: Value at Risk (VaR), Expected Shortfall, skew, kurtosis, and fat tails.
| Metric (1-Year) | RDDT | SNAP |
|---|---|---|
| 5% VaR (daily log return) | -8.46% | -5.77% |
| 5% Expected Shortfall (CVaR) | -11.49% (worst 13 days) | -9.57% (worst 13 days) |
| Skew | -0.13 | -0.24 |
| Excess kurtosis | 2.77 | 6.23 |
| 2σ tail days (down / up) | 7 / 5 | 7 / 5 |
| Worst day | -19.92% (2025-03-10) | -17.15% (2025-08-06) |
| Best day | +24.72% (2025-04-09) | +21.99% (2025-04-09) |
Downside co-moves (2σ) — 1-Year
Computed on shared dates only (n=249). A “2σ downside move” means a shared-close log return more than 2 standard deviations below that asset’s own mean on this shared-date series. Dates below show simple returns (%) for readability.
Show downside tail dates
Dates below are shared-date observations. The “Date” is the period end (close). Tail thresholds are computed on log returns, but the table shows simple returns (%) for readability. Returns are computed from the previous shared close to this one (for example, Friday → Monday includes weekend moves).
Days when both RDDT and SNAP had a big down day (2σ)
| Date (interval) | RDDT | SNAP |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-03 | -11.51% | -9.68% |
Days when RDDT had a big down day
| Date (interval) | RDDT | SNAP |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-06 | -10.56% | -1.94% |
| 2025-03-07 | -11.11% | +1.25% |
| 2025-03-07 → 2025-03-10 | -19.92% | -6.58% |
| 2025-03-18 | -12.31% | -2.89% |
| 2025-04-03 | -11.51% | -9.68% |
| 2025-04-04 | -10.31% | +0.37% |
| 2025-10-01 | -11.91% | +0.00% |
Days when SNAP had a big down day
| Date (interval) | RDDT | SNAP |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-03 | -11.51% | -9.68% |
| 2025-04-10 | -7.98% | -11.22% |
| 2025-04-30 | -4.56% | -12.43% |
| 2025-08-06 | +6.89% | -17.15% |
| 2025-09-30 | -4.95% | -8.21% |
| 2026-02-03 | -6.63% | -8.41% |
| 2026-02-05 | -1.07% | -13.37% |
Read this as “how ugly the ugly days get”, not as a precise forecast. One-year samples are small, so tail estimates are inherently noisy.
Reddit vs Snap Volatility (RDDT vs SNAP)
Reddit's annualized volatility of 79.4% means it typically moves ±5% on any given day.
Snap's annualized volatility of 59.4% means it typically moves ±3.74% on any given day.
RDDT's higher volatility means a wider path to returns — this can be attractive for tactical, shorter-term exposure, while SNAP's smoother profile may better suit long-term allocators seeking steadier growth.
For comparison, the S&P 500 typically has 15-18% annualized volatility, translating to roughly ±1% daily moves. Higher volatility means larger potential gains but also larger potential losses.
Reddit vs Snap Performance Over Time
| Metric | RDDT | SNAP |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Days | -29.9% | -32.9% |
| 90 Days | -27.9% | -33.4% |
| 180 Days | -33.5% | -29% |
| 1 Year | -6.3% | -49.2% |
Shorter time frames can show different leaders as market conditions change. Consider your investment horizon when comparing performance.
Full Comparison of Reddit vs. Snap (1-Year)
| Metric | RDDT | SNAP |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return | -6.3% | -49.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 79.4% | 59.4% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.26 | -0.93 |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.37 | -1.26 |
| Calmar Ratio | -0.12 | -0.91 |
| Sterling Ratio | -0.28 | -1.28 |
| Treynor Ratio | 0.10 | -0.31 |
| Ulcer Index | 25.97% | 24.37% |
| Max Drawdown | -51.6% | -54.3% |
| Avg Correlation to S&P 500 | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| 5% VaR (daily log return) | -8.46% | -5.77% |
| 5% Expected Shortfall (CVaR) | -11.49% | -9.57% |
| Skew | -0.13 | -0.24 |
| Excess kurtosis | 2.77 | 6.23 |
| 2σ tail days (down / up) | 7 / 5 | 7 / 5 |
Audit this calculation
Formulas, inputs, and conventions used to compute the metrics on this page.
Inputs & conventions
- Shared window for pair metrics
- 2025-02-27 → 2026-02-25 (last shared close).
- Rolling correlation sample (shared closes)
- 220 rolling 30-day values (from 249 shared daily returns).
- Annualization (days/year)
- RDDT: 252 days/year; SNAP: 252 days/year.
- Risk-free rate
- Uses the 3-month U.S. Treasury yield (FRED: DGS3MO), averaged over each asset’s window:
- RDDT: 4.20% over 2025-02-27 → 2026-02-25.
- SNAP: 4.20% over 2025-02-27 → 2026-02-25.
- Volatility drag (rule of thumb)
- Estimated from annualized volatility (simple returns). For the log-return framing, see Log returns.
- RDDT: ≈ -31.5%/yr
- SNAP: ≈ -17.6%/yr
- Data alignment
- No forward fill. Correlation and tail co-moves are computed on shared closes only. For cross-calendar pairs (e.g., crypto vs stocks), weekend/holiday moves roll into the next shared close.
- Return conventions
- Volatility/Sharpe/Sortino use simple daily returns. Tail-risk uses daily log returns for distribution stats (but tables show simple returns). Log returns.
Formulas
- Price on day t.
- Simple daily return.
- Log daily return.
- Average daily return.
- Standard deviation of daily returns.
- Annualization factor (days/year).
- Annual risk-free rate.
Reddit vs Snap: Frequently Asked Questions
Which has higher volatility: RDDT or SNAP?
RDDT showed higher volatility at 79.4% annualized, compared to 59.4% for SNAP Over the past year. Higher volatility means larger price swings in both directions.
Does RDDT provide diversification when held with SNAP?
RDDT and SNAP are weakly correlated over the past year, with an average correlation of 0.27. This weak correlation suggests meaningful diversification benefits when held together.
How bad are the worst 5% days for RDDT vs SNAP?
Over the past year, RDDT's 5% VaR was -8.46% and its 5% Expected Shortfall was -11.49% (worst 13 days). SNAP's were -5.77% and -9.57% (worst 13 days).
Do RDDT and SNAP crash together on bad days?
On shared dates (n=249), when SNAP has a 2σ down day, RDDT also does 14.3% (1/7 days). In the other direction, when RDDT has one, SNAP also does 14.3% (1/7 days).
Which has better risk-adjusted returns: RDDT or SNAP?
SNAP had a negative Sharpe (-0.93) while RDDT was positive (0.26) Over the past year, indicating RDDT had meaningfully better risk-adjusted performance.
Can RDDT and SNAP be combined in a portfolio?
Yes, though allocation sizing matters. Their weak correlation could meaningfully reduce overall portfolio variance. RDDT's higher volatility (79.4%) means even small allocations can materially impact overall portfolio risk.