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Gold vs Silver (XAU vs XAG): Returns, Risk & Volatility (2023)

Last updated: December 31, 2023

Gale Finance Team
Written by Gale Finance Team
Sid Kalla
Reviewed by Sid Kalla CFA Charterholder
TL;DR: In 2023, XAU returned +12.2% while XAG returned -0.9%. XAU showed better risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe: 0.59). XAU was less volatile (13.1% vs 24.6%).

Analysis period: 2023-01-01 to 2023-12-31

XAU Total Return
+12.2%
XAG Total Return
-0.9%

Relative Performance of XAU vs XAG (Normalized to 100)

XAU XAG

Normalized to 100 at start date for comparison

Key Takeaways

  • Total Return: XAU delivered a +12.2% total return, while XAG returned -0.9% over the same period. XAU outperformed on total returns.
  • Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe Ratio): XAG had a negative Sharpe (-0.10) while XAU was positive (0.59), indicating XAU had meaningfully better risk-adjusted performance in this period.
  • Volatility (Annualized): XAG was more volatile, with 24.6% annualized volatility, versus 13.1% for XAU.
  • Maximum Drawdown: XAU's maximum drawdown was -11.2%, while XAG experienced a deeper drawdown of -19.5%.

Gold vs Silver Correlation

0.76 Average Correlation

Gold and Silver were strongly correlated in 2023. With a correlation of 0.76, these assets tended to move together, limiting diversification benefits.

For portfolio construction, this strong correlation means holding both XAU and XAG provides limited risk reduction — they're likely to decline together in downturns.

Metric Metric Value
Current (30-day) 0.84
Average (full period) 0.76
Minimum 0.63
Maximum 0.90

Correlation measures how closely two assets move together. Values near +1 indicate strong co-movement, near 0 indicates independence, and negative values indicate inverse movement.

Investment Comparison

If you invested $10,000 in each asset on January 1, 2023:

XAU $11,216.038 +12.2%
XAG $9,911.075 -0.9%

Difference: $1,304.963 (XAU ahead)

Gold and Silver: Risk Analysis

Gold experienced its maximum drawdown of -11.2% from 2023-05-04 to 2023-10-05. It has not yet recovered to its previous peak.

Silver experienced its maximum drawdown of -19.5% from 2023-05-04 to 2023-10-05. It has not yet recovered to its previous peak.

Smaller drawdowns and faster recoveries indicate lower downside risk and greater resilience during market stress.

Sharpe Ratio of XAU and XAG

XAU Sharpe Ratio
0.59
XAG Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Sharpe ratio measures return per unit of risk (volatility). A higher Sharpe indicates better risk-adjusted performance. XAG had a negative Sharpe (-0.10) while XAU was positive (0.59), indicating XAU had meaningfully better risk-adjusted performance in this period.

A Sharpe above 1.0 is generally considered good, above 2.0 is excellent. Negative Sharpe means the asset underperformed the risk-free rate. Calculated on each asset's full 365-day lookback of available prices and annualized using the asset calendar (365 for crypto, 252 trading days for equities/ETFs/metals).

Sortino Ratio of XAU and XAG

XAU Sortino Ratio
0.99
XAG Sortino Ratio
-0.15

Sortino ratio measures return per unit of downside risk. Unlike Sharpe, it only penalizes negative volatility. XAU had better downside-adjusted returns.

A higher Sortino is better. It's particularly useful for assets with asymmetric volatility (big gains, smaller losses). Downside volatility: XAU 7.7% vs XAG 15.9%. Calculated on each asset's full 365-day lookback of available prices and annualized using the asset calendar (365 for crypto, 252 trading days for equities/ETFs/metals).

Full Comparison of Gold vs. Silver (2023)

Metric XAU XAG
Total Return +12.2% -0.9%
Annualized Volatility 13.1% 24.6%
Sharpe Ratio 0.59 -0.10
Sortino Ratio 0.99 -0.15
Max Drawdown -11.2% -19.5%
Avg Correlation to S&P 500 N/A N/A

Gold vs Silver: Frequently Asked Questions

Which had higher volatility: XAU or XAG?

XAG showed higher volatility at 24.6% annualized, compared to 13.1% for XAU During 2023. Higher volatility meant larger price swings in both directions.

Did XAU provide diversification when held with XAG?

XAU and XAG were strongly correlated in 2023, with an average correlation of 0.76. This strong correlation limited diversification benefits.

Which had better risk-adjusted returns: XAU or XAG?

XAG had a negative Sharpe (-0.10) while XAU was positive (0.59) During 2023, indicating XAU had meaningfully better risk-adjusted performance.

Could XAU and XAG have been combined in a portfolio?

Yes, though allocation sizing mattered. Their strong correlation provided limited risk reduction since they tended to move together. XAG's higher volatility (24.6%) meant even small allocations can materially impact overall portfolio risk.