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Dogecoin vs Bitcoin: 10-Year Historical Risk & Correlation Scorecard

Last updated: December 31, 2025

10-YEAR SCORECARD

Dogecoin vs Bitcoin: 10-Year Scorecard

2016 - 2025

Gale Finance Team
Written by Gale Finance Team
Sid Kalla
Reviewed by Sid Kalla CFA Charterholder

The Verdict

DOGE: +75872.2% vs BTC: +20296.1%
Year-by-Year Wins
DOGE: 4 vs BTC: 6
$10,000 Invested in 2016
DOGE: $7,597,221.32 vs BTC: $2,039,613.43

Year-by-Year Performance

Over 10 years, BTC won 6 individual years while DOGE won 4. Despite winning more years, DOGE had the higher total return.

Year Dogecoin Bitcoin Winner
2016 +44.7% +121.9% BTC
2017 +3837.8% +1318.0% DOGE
2018 -73.7% -72.6% BTC
2019 -15.2% +87.2% BTC
2020 +130.4% +302.8% BTC
2021 +2899.1% +57.6% DOGE
2022 -59.4% -65.3% DOGE
2023 +27.4% +153.9% BTC
2024 +243.0% +111.7% DOGE
2025 -63.8% -6.1% BTC
Total Wins 4 wins 6 wins BTC
2016
DOGE +44.7%
BTC +121.9%
BTC
2017
DOGE +3837.8%
BTC +1318.0%
DOGE
2018
DOGE -73.7%
BTC -72.6%
BTC
2019
DOGE -15.2%
BTC +87.2%
BTC
2020
DOGE +130.4%
BTC +302.8%
BTC
2021
DOGE +2899.1%
BTC +57.6%
DOGE
2022
DOGE -59.4%
BTC -65.3%
DOGE
2023
DOGE +27.4%
BTC +153.9%
BTC
2024
DOGE +243.0%
BTC +111.7%
DOGE
2025
DOGE -63.8%
BTC -6.1%
BTC

Cumulative Performance

This chart shows how $100 invested at the start of 2016 would have grown over time.

Price Comparison

DOGE BTC

Normalized to 100 at start date for comparison

Risk-Adjusted Metrics

How did each asset perform relative to the risk taken? Higher Sharpe, Sortino, and Calmar ratios indicate better risk-adjusted returns.

Tail-risk definitions: Value at Risk (VaR), Expected Shortfall, skew, kurtosis, and fat tails.

Metric DOGE BTC
Total Return +75872.2% +20296.1%
CAGR +94.1% +70.2%
Volatility (Ann.) +170.5% +67.1%
Sharpe Ratio 0.92 1.07
Sortino Ratio 2.12 1.43
Calmar Ratio 1.02 0.84
Max Drawdown -92.3% -83.4%

Sharpe and Sortino ratios calculated using 4.23% average risk-free rate for the period.

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Best and Worst Years

DOGE Best Year

2017
+3837.8%

DOGE Worst Year

2018
-73.7%

BTC Best Year

2017
+1318.0%

BTC Worst Year

2018
-72.6%

Maximum Drawdown

Maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. Lower (less negative) is better.

DOGE
-92.3%
May 2021 to Jun 2022
BTC
-83.4%
Dec 2017 to Dec 2018
Recovered in 716 days

Correlation Analysis

The 10-year average correlation between Dogecoin and Bitcoin was 0.59. This moderate correlation suggests some co-movement but also diversification potential.

Dogecoin vs. Bitcoin Yearly Average Correlation (10-year)

0.34
2016
0.45
2017
0.58
2018
0.59
2019
0.62
2020
0.47
2021
0.68
2022
0.60
2023
0.77
2024
0.79
2025
Average
0.59
Mean correlation over the period
Range
0.01 to 0.92
Min to max correlation

Frequently Asked Questions

Which performed better over 10 years: Dogecoin or Bitcoin?

Dogecoin returned +75872.2% compared to Bitcoin's +20296.1% from 2016 to 2025. Dogecoin delivered the higher total return. Bitcoin won 6 out of 10 individual years.

What would $10,000 invested in Dogecoin be worth today?

$10,000 invested in Dogecoin at the start of 2016 would be worth $7,597,221.32 by the end of 2025. The same amount in Bitcoin would be worth $2,039,613.43.

Which asset had better risk-adjusted returns?

Bitcoin had the higher Sharpe ratio (1.07 vs 0.92), indicating better risk-adjusted performance than Dogecoin.

Methodology

  • Price data sourced from CoinGecko (DOGE) and CoinGecko (BTC)
  • Volatility calculated as annualized standard deviation of daily returns
  • Sharpe and Sortino ratios use the average 3-month Treasury rate as the risk-free rate
  • Calmar ratio = CAGR / Maximum Drawdown
  • Year-by-year returns calculated from first to last trading day of each calendar year

Disclaimer: This scorecard is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal, or tax advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All investments involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Data sourced from third parties may contain errors or be delayed. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.