Coherent Corp. vs Applied Optoelectronics (COHR vs AAOI) 2026: Stock Returns, Risk & Volatility

Reviewed by Sid Kalla CFA Charterholder

Returns shown in USD.

Quick answer

Which is a better investment: COHR or AAOI?

From October 14, 2025 to October 13, 2026: AAOI led on total return (+243.3% vs COHR +165.1%). The displayed Sharpe ratios were similar (COHR 1.52 vs AAOI 1.52). On observed risk, COHR had lower annualized volatility (87.0% vs AAOI 144.4%); COHR had a smaller maximum drawdown (-48.0% vs AAOI -65.7%).

Total Return

COHR +165.1%

AAOI +243.3%

Sharpe Ratio

COHR 1.52

AAOI 1.52

Annualized Volatility

COHR 87.0%

AAOI 144.4%

Max Drawdown

COHR -48.0%

AAOI -65.7%

Metric winners: Total Return: AAOI; Sharpe Ratio: tie; Annualized Volatility: COHR (less volatile); Max Drawdown: COHR (smaller drawdown).

COHR Total Return

↑ +165.1%

AAOI Total Return

↑ +243.3%

Relative Performance of COHR vs AAOI (Normalized to 100)

COHR AAOI

Normalized to 100 at start date for comparison

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Key Takeaways

Total Return: COHR delivered a +165.1% total return, while AAOI returned +243.3% over the same period. AAOI outperformed on total returns.
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe Ratio): Both assets posted similar Sharpe ratios (1.52 vs 1.52), indicating comparable risk-adjusted performance.
Volatility (Annualized): AAOI was more volatile, with 144.4% annualized volatility, versus 87.0% for COHR.
Maximum Drawdown: COHR's maximum drawdown was -48.0%, while AAOI experienced a deeper drawdown of -65.7%.
Tail Risk (VaR & Expected Shortfall): At the 5% level (daily log returns), COHR's VaR was -10.14% and its Expected Shortfall (CVaR) was -11.68%; AAOI's were -13.97% and -15.38%. VaR is the cutoff; Expected Shortfall is the average move on the worst days.
Skew & Kurtosis: Skew: COHR -0.15 vs AAOI 0.60. Excess kurtosis: COHR 0.45 vs AAOI 1.95. Negative skew leans downside; higher excess kurtosis means fatter tails.
Tail Days & Extremes: 2σ tail days (down/up): COHR 10/7, AAOI 2/6. Worst day: COHR -14.24% (2026-08-10) vs AAOI -17.17% (2026-06-09). Best day: COHR +18.32% (2025-11-06) vs AAOI +56.88% (2026-02-27).
Risk ratios: Sortino - COHR: 2.31 vs. AAOI: 2.64 , Calmar - COHR: 3.46 vs. AAOI: 3.73 , Sterling - COHR: 7.88 vs. AAOI: 9.50 , Treynor - COHR: 0.41 vs. AAOI: 0.53 , Ulcer Index - COHR: 17.80% vs. AAOI: 31.58%

Investment Comparison

If you invested $10,000 in each asset on October 14, 2025:

COHR $26,513.67 +165.1%

AAOI $34,332.87 +243.3%

Difference: $7,819.2 (AAOI ahead)

Coherent Corp. vs Applied Optoelectronics Performance Over Time

Metric	COHR	AAOI
30 Days	-5%	-7.2%
90 Days	-3.1%	-10.4%
180 Days	-11.6%	-37.8%
1 Year	165.1%	243.3%

Across the available lookbacks in this table, COHR led on total return for 30 Days, 90 Days, and 180 Days, while AAOI led for 1 Year.

Shorter time frames can show different leaders as market conditions change. Consider your investment horizon when comparing performance.

Coherent Corp. vs Applied Optoelectronics Correlation

Average Correlation

strongly correlated

0.70

Current (30-day) 0.86

30-day rolling range +0.28 to +0.90

Coherent Corp. and Applied Optoelectronics were strongly correlated from October 14, 2025 to October 13, 2026. The reported average correlation of 0.70 showed strong positive linear co-movement in the observed sample.

Correlation alone does not establish portfolio risk reduction or predict selloff behavior. This comparison does not model a combined portfolio.

Metric	Value
Current (30-day)	0.86
Average (full period)	0.70
Minimum (30-day rolling)	0.28
Maximum (30-day rolling)	0.90

Correlation measures linear co-movement of returns: near +1 indicates strong positive co-movement, near 0 indicates weak linear co-movement, and negative values indicate inverse co-movement. Near-zero correlation does not establish independence. Current, minimum, and maximum figures are 30-day rolling correlations on shared daily returns.

Drawdown

Maximum Drawdown

COHR

-48.0%

AAOI

-65.7%

Coherent Corp. experienced its maximum drawdown of -48% from 2026-06-02 to 2026-07-29. It has not yet recovered to its previous peak.

Applied Optoelectronics experienced its maximum drawdown of -65.7% from 2026-05-13 to 2026-07-29. It has not yet recovered to its previous peak.

Smaller drawdowns and faster recoveries indicate lower downside risk and greater resilience during market stress.

Coherent Corp. vs Applied Optoelectronics Volatility (COHR vs AAOI)

COHR Volatility

87.0%

±5.48% 1-day vol

AAOI Volatility

144.4%

±9.1% 1-day vol

1-day volatility (1σ)

COHR

±5.48%

AAOI

±9.1%

Coherent Corp.'s 87.0% annualized volatility translates to about ±5.48% one-standard-deviation daily volatility.

Applied Optoelectronics's 144.4% annualized volatility translates to about ±9.1% one-standard-deviation daily volatility.

AAOI had the wider volatility profile over this window. That means its day-to-day return distribution was broader; COHR was calmer, but lower volatility does not by itself mean better returns.

Treat the ± daily figure as a one-standard-deviation estimate from historical returns, not a forecast or expected absolute daily move. For context, 15-18% annualized volatility is roughly ±1% one-standard-deviation daily volatility.

Risk-adjusted ratios

Sharpe Ratio of COHR and AAOI

Sharpe Ratio: COHR vs. AAOI

Return per total volatility

Sharpe gives us excess return per unit of risk. Upside and downside volatility both count as risk.

Higher is better

excess return / total volatility

Formula

\displaystyle \mathrm{Sharpe} = \frac{\mathbb{E}[R] - R_f}{\sigma_R}

Sharpe ratio measures return per unit of risk (volatility). A higher Sharpe indicates better risk-adjusted performance. Both assets posted similar Sharpe ratios (1.52 vs 1.52), indicating comparable risk-adjusted performance.

A Sharpe above 1.0 is generally considered good, above 2.0 is excellent. Negative Sharpe means the asset underperformed the risk-free rate. Calculated on each asset's full 365-day lookback of available prices and annualized using the asset calendar (365 for crypto, 252 trading days for equities/ETFs/metals).

Sortino Ratio of COHR and AAOI

Sortino Ratio: COHR vs. AAOI

Return per downside volatility

Sortino keeps the return-over-risk idea, but only returns below the target rate count as volatility.

Higher is better

excess return / downside volatility

Formula

\displaystyle \mathrm{Sortino} = \frac{\mathbb{E}[R] - R_f}{\sigma_{\mathrm{down}}}

Sortino ratio measures return per unit of downside risk. Unlike Sharpe, it only counts downside deviation (returns below the target return). AAOI had better downside-adjusted returns.

A higher Sortino is better. It's useful when upside volatility is common (crypto is the obvious example). Downside deviation: COHR 57.3% vs AAOI 83.0%. Calculated on each asset's full 365-day lookback of available prices, using the daily risk-free rate as the target return, and annualized using the asset calendar (365 for crypto, 252 trading days for equities/ETFs/metals).

Calmar Ratio of COHR and AAOI

Calmar Ratio: COHR vs. AAOI

CAGR per worst drawdown

Calmar compares CAGR against the single deepest peak-to-trough loss over the period.

Higher is better

CAGR / max drawdown

Formula

\displaystyle \mathrm{Calmar} = \frac{\mathrm{CAGR}}{|\mathrm{MaxDD}|}

Calmar ratio compares CAGR to maximum drawdown. Higher Calmar means more return per unit of worst drawdown. AAOI posted the higher Calmar ratio.

Calmar is computed on each asset's full 365-day lookback and uses the max drawdown over that same window.

Sterling Ratio of COHR and AAOI

Sterling Ratio: COHR vs. AAOI

Return per average drawdown

Sterling smooths the drawdown penalty by using average drawdown events instead of only the worst one.

Higher is better

excess annual return / average deep drawdown

Formula

\displaystyle \mathrm{Sterling} = \frac{\mathrm{CAGR} - R_f}{\overline{D}_{>10\%}}

Sterling ratio measures excess return per unit of average drawdown (typically drawdowns worse than 10%). AAOI posted the higher Sterling ratio.

Sterling uses average drawdown events deeper than 10% and subtracts the risk-free rate to report excess return.

Treynor Ratio of COHR and AAOI

Treynor Ratio: COHR vs. AAOI

Excess return per market beta

Treynor divides excess annualized return by beta — the sensitivity of the asset to broad-market moves. The slope shown is each asset’s beta vs SPY.

Higher is better

excess return / market beta

Formula

\displaystyle \mathrm{Treynor} = \frac{\mathbb{E}[R] - R_f}{\beta}

Treynor ratio measures excess return per unit of market risk (beta) instead of total volatility. AAOI posted the higher Treynor ratio.

Treynor uses beta vs the S&P 500 (SPY) on shared dates and the average 3-month Treasury rate as the risk-free rate.

Ulcer Index of COHR and AAOI

Ulcer Index: COHR vs. AAOI

Drawdown pain

Ulcer Index is a risk index, not a return-over-risk ratio. Lower means smaller and shorter drawdowns.

Lower is better

root-mean-square drawdown

Formula

\displaystyle \mathrm{UI} = \sqrt{\mathbb{E}[D_t^2]}

Ulcer Index captures drawdown depth and duration. Lower Ulcer Index means less drawdown pain. COHR had the lower Ulcer Index (less drawdown pain).

Ulcer Index is computed from each asset's drawdown series over the full lookback window.

Tail Risk & Distribution Shape (1-Year): Coherent Corp. vs. Applied Optoelectronics

This section looks at the shape of daily returns, not just the average. Tail stats are computed per asset on its own daily series (crypto includes weekends). We use daily log returns $\ln\left(\frac{P_t}{P_{t-1}}\right)$ so multi-day moves add cleanly.

Definitions: Value at Risk (VaR), Expected Shortfall, skew, kurtosis, and fat tails.

Tail Risk & Distribution Shape: COHR vs. AAOI (1-Year)

Actual daily return tails

The bars are real daily log-return observations from the article window. Darker bars are observations at or beyond each asset’s 5% VaR cutoff.

Observed returns

VaR marks the 5th percentile loss cutoff; Expected Shortfall averages the observations beyond that cutoff.

Formula

\displaystyle \mathrm{VaR}_{5\%}=Q_{0.05}(r_t),\quad \mathrm{ES}_{5\%}=\mathbb{E}[r_t\mid r_t\le \mathrm{VaR}_{5\%}]

Metric (1-Year)	COHR	AAOI
5% VaR (daily log return)	-10.14%	-13.97%
5% Expected Shortfall (CVaR)	-11.68% (worst 13 days)	-15.38% (worst 13 days)
Skew	-0.15	0.60
Excess kurtosis	0.45	1.95
2σ tail days (down / up)	10 / 7	2 / 6
Worst day	-14.24% (2026-08-10)	-17.17% (2026-06-09)
Best day	+18.32% (2025-11-06)	+56.88% (2026-02-27)

Downside co-moves (2σ) — 1-Year

Computed on shared dates only (n=250). A “2σ downside move” means a shared-close log return more than 2 standard deviations below that asset’s own mean on this shared-date series. Dates below show simple returns (%) for readability.

Downside co-move map: COHR vs. AAOI (2σ)

Shared-close daily returns

Dots mark actual downside days: asset-colored dots are one-sided downside moves, and red dots are joint downside days. Grey dots add sampled shared-return context when available. The shaded lower-left zone shows where both COHR and AAOI crossed their own 2σ downside threshold.

2σ

Show downside tail dates

Dates below are shared-date observations. The “Date” is the period end (close). Tail thresholds are computed on log returns, but the table shows simple returns (%) for readability. Returns are computed from the previous shared close to this one (for example, Friday → Monday includes weekend moves).

Days when both COHR and AAOI had a big down day (2σ)

Date (interval)	COHR	AAOI
2026-06-09	-11.44%	-17.17%

Days when COHR had a big down day

Date (interval)	COHR	AAOI
2025-11-13	-10.66%	-12.66%
2025-12-12	-10.16%	-11.73%
2026-03-26	-10.57%	-14.85%
2026-06-05	-10.64%	-12.76%
2026-06-09	-11.44%	-17.17%
2026-06-23	-10.40%	-13.89%
2026-07-28	-10.31%	-9.90%
2026-08-07 → 2026-08-10	-14.24%	-2.08%
2026-08-18	-12.75%	-15.16%
2026-09-11 → 2026-09-14	-12.73%	-9.11%

Days when AAOI had a big down day

Date (interval)	COHR	AAOI
2026-03-12	-4.03%	-16.39%
2026-06-09	-11.44%	-17.17%

Read this as “how ugly the ugly days get”, not as a precise forecast. One-year samples are small, so tail estimates are inherently noisy.

Full Comparison of Coherent Corp. vs. Applied Optoelectronics (1-Year)

Metric	COHR	AAOI
Total Return	+165.1%	+243.3%
Annualized Volatility	87.0%	144.4%
Sharpe Ratio	1.52	1.52
Sortino Ratio	2.31	2.64
Calmar Ratio	3.46	3.73
Sterling Ratio	7.88	9.50
Treynor Ratio	0.41	0.53
Ulcer Index	17.80%	31.58%
Max Drawdown	-48.0%	-65.7%
Avg Correlation to S&P 500	0.51	0.34
5% VaR (daily log return)	-10.14%	-13.97%
5% Expected Shortfall (CVaR)	-11.68%	-15.38%
Skew	-0.15	0.60
Excess kurtosis	0.45	1.95
2σ tail days (down / up)	10 / 7	2 / 6

Audit this calculation

Formulas, inputs, and conventions used to compute the metrics on this page.

Inputs & conventions

Shared window for pair metrics: 2025-10-14 → 2026-10-13 (last shared close).
Rolling correlation sample (shared closes): 221 rolling 30-day values (from 250 shared daily returns).
Annualization (days/year): COHR: 252 days/year; AAOI: 252 days/year.
Risk-free rate: Uses the 3-month U.S. Treasury yield (FRED: DGS3MO), averaged over each asset’s window:

COHR: 3.81% over 2025-10-14 → 2026-10-13.

AAOI: 3.81% over 2025-10-14 → 2026-10-13.
Volatility drag (rule of thumb): Estimated from annualized volatility (simple returns). For the log-return framing, see Log returns.

COHR: ≈ -37.8%/yr

AAOI: ≈ -104.3%/yr
Data alignment: No forward fill. Correlation and tail co-moves are computed on shared closes only.
For cross-calendar pairs (e.g., crypto vs stocks), weekend/holiday moves roll into the next shared close.
Return conventions: Volatility/Sharpe/Sortino use simple daily returns. Tail-risk uses daily log returns for distribution stats (but tables show simple returns). Log returns.

Formulas

Daily simple return

r_t = \frac{P_t}{P_{t-1}} - 1

Volatility

\sigma_{ann} = \sigma(r_t)\sqrt{A}

Volatility drag (approx.)

\text{drag} \approx \tfrac{1}{2}\sigma_{ann}^2

Sharpe Ratio

S = \frac{A\,\bar{r} - r_f}{\sigma(r_t)\sqrt{A}}

Sortino Ratio

So = \frac{A\,\bar{r} - r_f}{\sqrt{\mathbb{E}[\min(0,\,r_t - r_f/A)^2]}\,\sqrt{A}}

Maximum Drawdown

MDD = \min_t\left(\frac{P_t}{\max_{s \le t} P_s} - 1\right)

Average Correlation

\rho = \frac{\operatorname{cov}(r^A,\,r^B)}{\sigma_A\,\sigma_B}

Log returns

\ell_t = \ln\left(\frac{P_t}{P_{t-1}}\right)

Notation

$P_t$: Price on day t.
$r_t$: Simple daily return.
$\ell_t$: Log daily return.
$\bar{r}$: Average daily return.
$\sigma(r_t)$: Standard deviation of daily returns.
$A$: Annualization factor (days/year).
$r_f$: Annual risk-free rate.

Coherent Corp. vs Applied Optoelectronics: Frequently Asked Questions

Which has higher volatility: COHR or AAOI?

AAOI showed higher volatility at 144.4% annualized, compared to 87.0% for COHR Over the past year. Higher volatility means larger price swings in both directions.

Does COHR provide diversification when held with AAOI?

COHR and AAOI were strongly correlated from October 14, 2025 to October 13, 2026, with an average correlation of 0.70. Correlation alone does not establish portfolio risk reduction or predict selloff behavior. This comparison does not model a combined portfolio.

How bad are the worst 5% days for COHR vs AAOI?

Over the past year, COHR's 5% VaR was -10.14% and its 5% Expected Shortfall was -11.68% (worst 13 days). AAOI's were -13.97% and -15.38% (worst 13 days).

Do COHR and AAOI crash together on bad days?

On shared dates (n=250), when AAOI has a 2σ down day, COHR also does 50.0% (1/2 days). In the other direction, when COHR has one, AAOI also does 10.0% (1/10 days).

Which has better risk-adjusted returns: COHR or AAOI?

Both assets showed similar risk-adjusted performance with Sharpe ratios of 1.52 and 1.52 Over the past year.

Can COHR and AAOI be combined in a portfolio?

This comparison measures the assets individually, not a combined portfolio. Portfolio risk depends on allocation weights and the joint return path; no portfolio result is calculated here. AAOI had higher annualized volatility (144.4%) in this sample; the effect of an allocation is not measured here.

Explore our financial glossary

Which is a better investment: COHR or AAOI?

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Relative Performance of COHR vs AAOI (Normalized to 100)

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Key Takeaways

Investment Comparison

Coherent Corp. vs Applied Optoelectronics Performance Over Time

Coherent Corp. vs Applied Optoelectronics Correlation

Drawdown

Coherent Corp. vs Applied Optoelectronics Volatility (COHR vs AAOI)

Risk-adjusted ratios

Sharpe Ratio of COHR and AAOI

Sharpe Ratio: COHR vs. AAOI

Sortino Ratio of COHR and AAOI

Sortino Ratio: COHR vs. AAOI

Calmar Ratio of COHR and AAOI

Calmar Ratio: COHR vs. AAOI

Sterling Ratio of COHR and AAOI

Sterling Ratio: COHR vs. AAOI

Treynor Ratio of COHR and AAOI

Treynor Ratio: COHR vs. AAOI

Ulcer Index of COHR and AAOI

Ulcer Index: COHR vs. AAOI

Tail Risk & Distribution Shape (1-Year): Coherent Corp. vs. Applied Optoelectronics

Tail Risk & Distribution Shape: COHR vs. AAOI (1-Year)

Downside co-moves (2σ) — 1-Year

Downside co-move map: COHR vs. AAOI (2σ)

Days when both COHR and AAOI had a big down day (2σ)

Days when COHR had a big down day

Days when AAOI had a big down day

Full Comparison of Coherent Corp. vs. Applied Optoelectronics (1-Year)

Inputs & conventions

Formulas

Coherent Corp. vs Applied Optoelectronics: Frequently Asked Questions

Which has higher volatility: COHR or AAOI?

Does COHR provide diversification when held with AAOI?

How bad are the worst 5% days for COHR vs AAOI?

Do COHR and AAOI crash together on bad days?

Which has better risk-adjusted returns: COHR or AAOI?

Can COHR and AAOI be combined in a portfolio?