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Compare · SILJ vs SIL · 2026

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF vs Global X Silver Miners ETF

A year of returns, risk, and volatility, compared.

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (SILJ) and Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) are compared across trailing return, volatility, drawdown, and risk-adjusted metrics.

Last updated:

Analysis period: 2025-04-25 to 2026-04-23

Gale Finance Team
Written by Gale Finance Team
Sid Kalla
Reviewed by Sid Kalla CFA Charterholder
Quick answer

Which is a better investment: SILJ or SIL?

Over the past year, SILJ outperformed SIL. SILJ returned +154.2% compared with SIL’s +136.6%. SILJ had the better risk-adjusted return, with a Sharpe ratio of 1.97 versus SIL’s 1.96. SIL was less volatile than SILJ, and SIL had a smaller max drawdown than SILJ.

Total Return
SILJ +154.2%
SIL +136.6%
Sharpe Ratio
SILJ 1.97
SIL 1.96
Annualized Volatility
SILJ 53.3%
SIL 48.5%
Max Drawdown
SILJ -34.7%
SIL -32.9%

Metric winners: Total Return: SILJ; Sharpe Ratio: SILJ; Annualized Volatility: SIL (less volatile); Max Drawdown: SIL (smaller drawdown).

SILJ Total Return
↑ +154.2%
SIL Total Return
↑ +136.6%

Relative Performance of SILJ vs SIL (Normalized to 100)

SILJ SIL

Normalized to 100 at start date for comparison

7 events in this period
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Key Takeaways

  • Total Return: SILJ delivered a +154.2% total return, while SIL returned +136.6% over the same period. SILJ outperformed on total returns.
  • Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe Ratio): SILJ had a higher Sharpe (1.97 vs 1.96), indicating better risk-adjusted performance.
  • Volatility (Annualized): SILJ was more volatile, with 53.3% annualized volatility, versus 48.5% for SIL.
  • Maximum Drawdown: SIL's maximum drawdown was -32.9%, while SILJ experienced a deeper drawdown of -34.7%.
  • Tail Risk (VaR & Expected Shortfall): At the 5% level (daily log returns), SILJ's VaR was -5.89% and its Expected Shortfall (CVaR) was -8.50%; SIL's were -5.43% and -7.92%. VaR is the cutoff; Expected Shortfall is the average move on the worst days.
  • Skew & Kurtosis: Skew: SILJ -0.93 vs SIL -1.14. Excess kurtosis: SILJ 2.80 vs SIL 3.67. Negative skew leans downside; higher excess kurtosis means fatter tails.
  • Tail Days & Extremes: 2σ tail days (down/up): SILJ 10/2, SIL 9/1. Worst day: SILJ -15.02% (2026-01-30) vs SIL -14.78% (2026-01-30). Best day: SILJ +8.82% (2026-03-31) vs SIL +7.82% (2026-03-31).
  • Risk ratios: Sortino - SILJ: 2.82 vs. SIL: 2.74 , Calmar - SILJ: 4.49 vs. SIL: 4.19 , Sterling - SILJ: 5.74 vs. SIL: 5.37 , Treynor - SILJ: 0.83 vs. SIL: 0.92 , Ulcer Index - SILJ: 11.43% vs. SIL: 10.54%
Related:Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF vs Silver·Global X Copper Miners ETF vs Global X Silver Miners ETF·Silver vs Global X Silver Miners ETF

Investment Comparison

If you invested $10,000 in each asset on April 25, 2025:

SILJ $25,422.42 +154.2%
SIL $23,655.02 +136.6%

Difference: $1,767.4 (SILJ ahead)

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF vs Global X Silver Miners ETF Performance Over Time

Metric SILJ SIL
30 Days 9.9% 12.9%
90 Days -20.9% -15.6%
180 Days 36.9% 40.8%
1 Year 154.2% 136.6%

Shorter time frames can show different leaders as market conditions change. Consider your investment horizon when comparing performance.

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF vs Global X Silver Miners ETF Correlation

Average Correlation
strongly correlated
0.98
Current (30-day) 0.99
30-day rolling range +0.96 to +1.00

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF and Global X Silver Miners ETF are strongly correlated over the past year. With a correlation of 0.98, these assets tend to move together, limiting diversification benefits.

For portfolio construction, this strong correlation means holding both SILJ and SIL provides limited risk reduction — they're likely to decline together in downturns.

Metric Value
Current (30-day) 0.99
Average (full period) 0.98
Minimum (30-day rolling) 0.96
Maximum (30-day rolling) 1.00

Correlation measures how closely two assets move together. Values near +1 indicate strong co-movement, near 0 indicates independence, and negative values indicate inverse movement. Current, minimum, and maximum figures are 30-day rolling correlations on shared daily returns.

Drawdown

Maximum Drawdown
SILJ
-34.7%
SIL
-32.9%

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF experienced its maximum drawdown of -34.7% from 2026-02-27 to 2026-03-20. It has not yet recovered to its previous peak.

Global X Silver Miners ETF experienced its maximum drawdown of -32.9% from 2026-02-27 to 2026-03-20. It has not yet recovered to its previous peak.

Smaller drawdowns and faster recoveries indicate lower downside risk and greater resilience during market stress.

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF vs Global X Silver Miners ETF Volatility (SILJ vs SIL)

SILJ Volatility
53.3%
±3.36% 1-day vol
SIL Volatility
48.5%
±3.06% 1-day vol
1-day volatility (1σ)
SILJ
±3.36%
SIL
±3.06%

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF's 53.3% annualized volatility translates to about ±3.36% one-standard-deviation daily volatility.

Global X Silver Miners ETF's 48.5% annualized volatility translates to about ±3.06% one-standard-deviation daily volatility.

SILJ had the wider volatility profile over this window. That means its day-to-day return distribution was broader; SIL was calmer, but lower volatility does not by itself mean better returns.

Treat the ± daily figure as a one-standard-deviation estimate from historical returns, not a forecast or expected absolute daily move. For context, 15-18% annualized volatility is roughly ±1% one-standard-deviation daily volatility.

Risk-adjusted ratios

Sharpe Ratio of SILJ and SIL

Sharpe Ratio: SILJ vs. SIL

Return per total volatility

Sharpe gives us excess return per unit of risk. Upside and downside volatility both count as risk.

Higher is better
Excess return Annualized volatility 0 75% vol 53.3% · excess +104.8% vol 48.5% · excess +95.0%
excess return / total volatility
Formula Sharpe=E[R]−RfσR\displaystyle \mathrm{Sharpe} = \frac{\mathbb{E}[R] - R_f}{\sigma_R}

Sharpe ratio measures return per unit of risk (volatility). A higher Sharpe indicates better risk-adjusted performance. SILJ had a higher Sharpe (1.97 vs 1.96), indicating better risk-adjusted performance.

A Sharpe above 1.0 is generally considered good, above 2.0 is excellent. Negative Sharpe means the asset underperformed the risk-free rate. Calculated on each asset's full 365-day lookback of available prices and annualized using the asset calendar (365 for crypto, 252 trading days for equities/ETFs/metals).

Sortino Ratio of SILJ and SIL

Sortino Ratio: SILJ vs. SIL

Return per downside volatility

Sortino keeps the return-over-risk idea, but only returns below the target rate count as volatility.

Higher is better
Frequency (days) Daily return (%) target -16.0% +9.8% 32 0
excess return / downside volatility
Formula Sortino=E[R]−Rfσdown\displaystyle \mathrm{Sortino} = \frac{\mathbb{E}[R] - R_f}{\sigma_{\mathrm{down}}}

Sortino ratio measures return per unit of downside risk. Unlike Sharpe, it only counts downside deviation (returns below the target return). SILJ had better downside-adjusted returns.

A higher Sortino is better. It's useful when upside volatility is common (crypto is the obvious example). Downside deviation: SILJ 37.1% vs SIL 34.6%. Calculated on each asset's full 365-day lookback of available prices, using the daily risk-free rate as the target return, and annualized using the asset calendar (365 for crypto, 252 trading days for equities/ETFs/metals).

Calmar Ratio of SILJ and SIL

Calmar Ratio: SILJ vs. SIL

CAGR per worst drawdown

Calmar compares CAGR against the single deepest peak-to-trough loss over the period.

Higher is better
0% SILJ +155.7% -34.7% SIL +137.8% -32.9%
CAGR / max drawdown
Formula Calmar=CAGR∣MaxDD∣\displaystyle \mathrm{Calmar} = \frac{\mathrm{CAGR}}{|\mathrm{MaxDD}|}

Calmar ratio compares CAGR to maximum drawdown. Higher Calmar means more return per unit of worst drawdown. SILJ posted the higher Calmar ratio.

Calmar is computed on each asset's full 365-day lookback and uses the max drawdown over that same window.

Sterling Ratio of SILJ and SIL

Sterling Ratio: SILJ vs. SIL

Return per average drawdown

Sterling smooths the drawdown penalty by using average drawdown events instead of only the worst one.

Higher is better
0% -9% -18% -27% -36% 10% drawdown threshold
excess annual return / average deep drawdown
Formula Sterling=CAGR−RfD‾>10%\displaystyle \mathrm{Sterling} = \frac{\mathrm{CAGR} - R_f}{\overline{D}_{>10\%}}

Sterling ratio measures excess return per unit of average drawdown (typically drawdowns worse than 10%). SILJ posted the higher Sterling ratio.

Sterling uses average drawdown events deeper than 10% and subtracts the risk-free rate to report excess return.

Treynor Ratio of SILJ and SIL

Treynor Ratio: SILJ vs. SIL

Excess return per market beta

Treynor divides excess annualized return by beta — the sensitivity of the asset to broad-market moves. The slope shown is each asset’s beta vs SPY.

Higher is better
Asset return Market return 0 0 β 1.26 β 1.04
excess return / market beta
Formula Treynor=E[R]−Rfβ\displaystyle \mathrm{Treynor} = \frac{\mathbb{E}[R] - R_f}{\beta}

Treynor ratio measures excess return per unit of market risk (beta) instead of total volatility. SIL posted the higher Treynor ratio.

Treynor uses beta vs the S&P 500 (SPY) on shared dates and the average 3-month Treasury rate as the risk-free rate.

Ulcer Index of SILJ and SIL

Ulcer Index: SILJ vs. SIL

Drawdown pain

Ulcer Index is a risk index, not a return-over-risk ratio. Lower means smaller and shorter drawdowns.

Lower is better
0% -9% -18% -27% -36%
root-mean-square drawdown
Formula UI=E[Dt2]\displaystyle \mathrm{UI} = \sqrt{\mathbb{E}[D_t^2]}

Ulcer Index captures drawdown depth and duration. Lower Ulcer Index means less drawdown pain. SIL had the lower Ulcer Index (less drawdown pain).

Ulcer Index is computed from each asset's drawdown series over the full lookback window.

Tail Risk & Distribution Shape (1-Year): Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF vs. Global X Silver Miners ETF

This section looks at the shape of daily returns, not just the average. Tail stats are computed per asset on its own daily series (crypto includes weekends). We use daily log returns ln⁡(PtPt−1)\ln\left(\frac{P_t}{P_{t-1}}\right) so multi-day moves add cleanly.

Definitions: Value at Risk (VaR), Expected Shortfall, skew, kurtosis, and fat tails.

Tail Risk & Distribution Shape: SILJ vs. SIL (1-Year)

Actual daily return tails

The bars are real daily log-return observations from the article window. Darker bars are observations at or beyond each asset’s 5% VaR cutoff.

Observed returns
SILJ VaR 5% ES 5% SIL VaR 5% ES 5% -18.6% 0% +18.6% Daily log return
VaR marks the 5th percentile loss cutoff; Expected Shortfall averages the observations beyond that cutoff.
Formula VaR5%=Q0.05(rt),ES5%=E[rt∣rt≤VaR5%]\displaystyle \mathrm{VaR}_{5\%}=Q_{0.05}(r_t),\quad \mathrm{ES}_{5\%}=\mathbb{E}[r_t\mid r_t\le \mathrm{VaR}_{5\%}]
Metric (1-Year) SILJ SIL
5% VaR (daily log return) -5.89% -5.43%
5% Expected Shortfall (CVaR) -8.50% (worst 13 days) -7.92% (worst 13 days)
Skew -0.93 -1.14
Excess kurtosis 2.80 3.67
2σ tail days (down / up) 10 / 2 9 / 1
Worst day -15.02% (2026-01-30) -14.78% (2026-01-30)
Best day +8.82% (2026-03-31) +7.82% (2026-03-31)

Downside co-moves (2σ) — 1-Year

Computed on shared dates only (n=249). A “2σ downside move” means a shared-close log return more than 2 standard deviations below that asset’s own mean on this shared-date series. Dates below show simple returns (%) for readability.

Downside co-move map: SILJ vs. SIL (2σ)

Shared-close daily returns

Dots mark actual downside days: asset-colored dots are one-sided downside moves, and red dots are joint downside days. Grey dots add sampled shared-return context when available. The shaded lower-left zone shows where both SILJ and SIL crossed their own 2σ downside threshold.

2σ
-2σ SIL -2σ SILJ Joint downside zone -18.2% 0% +18.2% +18.5% 0% -18.5% SIL daily log return SILJ daily log return
Shared daily return 249
SILJ Downside threshold -6.40%
SIL Downside threshold -5.83%
Show downside tail dates

Dates below are shared-date observations. The “Date” is the period end (close). Tail thresholds are computed on log returns, but the table shows simple returns (%) for readability. Returns are computed from the previous shared close to this one (for example, Friday → Monday includes weekend moves).

Days when both SILJ and SIL had a big down day (2σ)

Date (interval) SILJ SIL
2025-10-17 -7.69% -7.68%
2025-10-21 -11.32% -10.86%
2026-01-30 -15.02% -14.78%
2026-02-05 -8.69% -7.63%
2026-02-12 -9.01% -8.11%
2026-03-03 -9.71% -8.92%
2026-03-18 -7.20% -6.73%
2026-03-19 -6.32% -5.71%

Days when SILJ had a big down day

Date (interval) SILJ SIL
2025-10-17 -7.69% -7.68%
2025-10-21 -11.32% -10.86%
2026-01-30 -15.02% -14.78%
2026-02-05 -8.69% -7.63%
2026-02-12 -9.01% -8.11%
2026-03-03 -9.71% -8.92%
2026-03-18 -7.20% -6.73%
2026-03-19 -6.32% -5.71%
2026-03-26 -6.58% -4.94%
2026-04-21 -6.55% -5.29%

Days when SIL had a big down day

Date (interval) SILJ SIL
2025-05-09 → 2025-05-12 -4.71% -6.55%
2025-10-17 -7.69% -7.68%
2025-10-21 -11.32% -10.86%
2026-01-30 -15.02% -14.78%
2026-02-05 -8.69% -7.63%
2026-02-12 -9.01% -8.11%
2026-03-03 -9.71% -8.92%
2026-03-18 -7.20% -6.73%
2026-03-19 -6.32% -5.71%

Read this as “how ugly the ugly days get”, not as a precise forecast. One-year samples are small, so tail estimates are inherently noisy.

Full Comparison of Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF vs. Global X Silver Miners ETF (1-Year)

Metric SILJ SIL
Total Return +154.2% +136.6%
Annualized Volatility 53.3% 48.5%
Sharpe Ratio 1.97 1.96
Sortino Ratio 2.82 2.74
Calmar Ratio 4.49 4.19
Sterling Ratio 5.74 5.37
Treynor Ratio 0.83 0.92
Ulcer Index 11.43% 10.54%
Max Drawdown -34.7% -32.9%
Avg Correlation to S&P 500 0.30 0.27
5% VaR (daily log return) -5.89% -5.43%
5% Expected Shortfall (CVaR) -8.50% -7.92%
Skew -0.93 -1.14
Excess kurtosis 2.80 3.67
2σ tail days (down / up) 10 / 2 9 / 1
Audit this calculation

Formulas, inputs, and conventions used to compute the metrics on this page.

Inputs & conventions

Shared window for pair metrics
2025-04-25 → 2026-04-23 (last shared close).
Rolling correlation sample (shared closes)
220 rolling 30-day values (from 249 shared daily returns).
Annualization (days/year)
SILJ: 252 days/year; SIL: 252 days/year.
Risk-free rate
Uses the 3-month U.S. Treasury yield (FRED: DGS3MO), averaged over each asset’s window:
  • SILJ: 4.17% over 2025-04-25 → 2026-04-23.
  • SIL: 4.17% over 2025-04-25 → 2026-04-23.
Volatility drag (rule of thumb)
Estimated from annualized volatility (simple returns). For the log-return framing, see Log returns.
  • SILJ: ≈ -14.2%/yr
  • SIL: ≈ -11.8%/yr
Data alignment
No forward fill. Correlation and tail co-moves are computed on shared closes only.
For cross-calendar pairs (e.g., crypto vs stocks), weekend/holiday moves roll into the next shared close.
Return conventions
Volatility/Sharpe/Sortino use simple daily returns. Tail-risk uses daily log returns for distribution stats (but tables show simple returns). Log returns.

Formulas

Daily simple return
rt=PtPt−1−1r_t = \frac{P_t}{P_{t-1}} - 1
Volatility
σann=σ(rt)A\sigma_{ann} = \sigma(r_t)\sqrt{A}
Volatility drag (approx.)
drag≈12σann2\text{drag} \approx \tfrac{1}{2}\sigma_{ann}^2
Sharpe Ratio
S=A rˉ−rfσ(rt)AS = \frac{A\,\bar{r} - r_f}{\sigma(r_t)\sqrt{A}}
Sortino Ratio
So=A rˉ−rfE[min⁡(0, rt−rf/A)2] ASo = \frac{A\,\bar{r} - r_f}{\sqrt{\mathbb{E}[\min(0,\,r_t - r_f/A)^2]}\,\sqrt{A}}
Maximum Drawdown
MDD=min⁡t(Ptmax⁡s≤tPs−1)MDD = \min_t\left(\frac{P_t}{\max_{s \le t} P_s} - 1\right)
Average Correlation
ρ=cov⁡(rA, rB)σA σB\rho = \frac{\operatorname{cov}(r^A,\,r^B)}{\sigma_A\,\sigma_B}
Log returns
ℓt=ln⁡(PtPt−1)\ell_t = \ln\left(\frac{P_t}{P_{t-1}}\right)
Notation
PtP_t
Price on day t.
rtr_t
Simple daily return.
ℓt\ell_t
Log daily return.
rˉ\bar{r}
Average daily return.
σ(rt)\sigma(r_t)
Standard deviation of daily returns.
AA
Annualization factor (days/year).
rfr_f
Annual risk-free rate.

Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF vs Global X Silver Miners ETF: Frequently Asked Questions

Which has higher volatility: SILJ or SIL?

SILJ showed higher volatility at 53.3% annualized, compared to 48.5% for SIL Over the past year. Higher volatility means larger price swings in both directions.

Does SILJ provide diversification when held with SIL?

SILJ and SIL are strongly correlated over the past year, with an average correlation of 0.98. This strong correlation limits diversification benefits.

How bad are the worst 5% days for SILJ vs SIL?

Over the past year, SILJ's 5% VaR was -5.89% and its 5% Expected Shortfall was -8.50% (worst 13 days). SIL's were -5.43% and -7.92% (worst 13 days).

Do SILJ and SIL crash together on bad days?

On shared dates (n=249), when SIL has a 2σ down day, SILJ also does 88.9% (8/9 days). In the other direction, when SILJ has one, SIL also does 80.0% (8/10 days).

Which has better risk-adjusted returns: SILJ or SIL?

SILJ showed better risk-adjusted performance with a Sharpe ratio of 1.97 versus SIL's 1.96 Over the past year.

Can SILJ and SIL be combined in a portfolio?

Yes, though allocation sizing matters. Their strong correlation provides limited risk reduction since they tend to move together. SILJ's higher volatility (53.3%) means even small allocations can materially impact overall portfolio risk.

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